Shane Smith
RHP
CWS
4
HRs Allowed
14.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
·
HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
14.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
27
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
14.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 93.4mph | 102.2mph | 30.0° | 375ft | Flat +1.9pp |
| Last 15 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 14.8% | 1.33 | 97.7mph | 103.3mph | 28.8° | 383ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 14.8% | 1.33 | 97.7mph | 103.3mph | 28.8° | 383ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.7
Avg Max EV
112.3
Max EV Allowed
15
Hard-Hit Proxy · 83.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.3
Avg HR EV
28.8°
Avg HR Launch
383
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Ryan Mountcastle | 111.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Gunnar Henderson | 105.0mph | 105.0mph | 21° | 387ft | Yes |
| 2026-04-01 | Javier Sanoja | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Otto Lopez | 102.8mph | 102.8mph | 29° | 392ft | Yes |
| 2026-04-01 | Liam Hicks | 100.9mph | 98.8mph | 40° | 347ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-26 | Rhys Hoskins | 112.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Sal Frelick | 106.7mph | 106.7mph | 25° | 407ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-26 | Brice Turang | 106.3mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Gunnar Henderson | #54 | 37 | Rate Field | 105.0mph | 21.0° | 387.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Otto Lopez | #140 | 34 | loanDepot Park | 102.8mph | 29.0° | 392.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Liam Hicks | #189 | 28 | loanDepot Park | 98.8mph | 40.0° | 347.0ft |
| 2026-03-26 | Sal Frelick | #114 | 28 | American Family Field | 106.7mph | 25.0° | 407.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 78 | 27.4% | +2.4 | 78.8 | 42.9° | 0 |
| Curveball | 65 | 22.8% | -1.6 | 77.8 | 8.5° | 0 |
| Changeup | 56 | 19.6% | +6.4 | 72.0 | 15.9° | 0 |
| Sinker | 50 | 17.5% | +0.5 | 75.8 | 31.0° | 0 |
| Slider | 36 | 12.6% | +8.7 | 88.6 | 6.9° | 1 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Adley Rutschman | #179 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Ryan Mountcastle | #160 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Dylan Carlson | #159 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jackson Holliday | #141 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Coby Mayo | #130 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Tyler O'Neill | #85 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Colton Cowser | #76 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Gunnar Henderson | #54 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-07 | Jordan Westburg | #27 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Xavier Edwards | #236 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Javier Sanoja | #199 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Liam Hicks | #189 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Eric Wagaman | #186 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Dane Myers | #173 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Otto Lopez | #140 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Connor Norby | #136 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Agustin Ramirez | #73 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Kyle Stowers | #17 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Joey Ortiz | #144 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Caleb Durbin | #122 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Sal Frelick | #114 | 28 | ⚪ D | · — | 💥 |
| 2026-03-26 | Isaac Collins | #91 | 33 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Jackson Chourio | #69 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | William Contreras | #68 | 34 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Rhys Hoskins | #65 | 41 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Brice Turang | #62 | 36 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Christian Yelich | #4 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |